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Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expiration: What It Means for the Crypto Market and Investors

CryptoBox

April 23, 2023

The cryptocurrency market is gearing up for a significant event as a large number of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options are set to expire. According to data shared by Greeks.live on Twitter, 25,000 BTC options and 217,000 ETH options will expire soon, with a notional value of $0.72 billion and $0.42 billion, respectively.


Crypto options, like traditional options, provide investors the opportunity to hedge their positions, speculate on price movements, or even generate income by selling options. Option expiries refer to the end of an option contract’s life, at which point the option either gets exercised or becomes worthless.


In the context of the cryptocurrency market, an option is a financial instrument that allows traders to buy or sell an underlying asset, such as Bitcoin or Ethereum, at a predetermined price before a specific expiration date. The put-call ratio, an indicator that measures the balance of put options (contracts that grant the right to sell) to call options (contracts that grant the right to buy) in the market, is 0.7 for BTC options and 0.83 for ETH options.


The max pain point, also known as the max pain level, is the point where option owners (buyers) feel the most financial pain, i.e., the price at which the greatest number of options will expire worthless. For BTC options, the max pain point is $29,000, while for ETH options, it is $1,950.


The expiration of these options could have a significant impact on the crypto market, as traders may choose to exercise their options or roll them over to a later date. If a large number of options expire worthless, it could lead to increased volatility as traders adjust their positions. On the other hand, if a large number of options are exercised, it could lead to increased buying or selling pressure, depending on the direction of the trades.


The put-call ratio for BTC options suggests a bearish sentiment, while the ratio for ETH options implies a more bullish sentiment. This could indicate that traders are more optimistic about the future price of ETH compared to BTC.


It’s worth noting that the expiration of options is just one of many factors that can influence the price of cryptocurrencies. Other factors, such as regulatory developments, market sentiment, and macroeconomic conditions, can also have a significant impact on the market.